cromwell wrote:There are two sides in the negotiations and if one just wants to stick the boot in then it is going to be a hard Brexit whether we like it or not.
This wasn't just a "possibility", this was a foregone conclusion.
It's why I constantly refrain about the needs of 27 as opposed to the needs of 1. We may be warring internally over how Brexit is going to happen, but we are united as one government for the negotiations. May is seeking a mandate from the people to carry out her negotiations but she doesn't really need to, that is just to create an ability to deliver what is negotiated in a reasonable time and to control an unruly Tory party.
The EU, on the other hand, is an unruly cabal of 27 states with governments and elections and populations sitting behind that. Hold Fast has nothing on the EU, their first action was to bind the 27 states into an unbreakable pact which the states could not then interfere from. They are then following the tried and tested (well almost), method of creating unity by giving the UK a kicking. That method suffered really serious cracks under Cameron. Cameron came over to the EU as an entirely reasonable guy who just wanted to avert a disaster. The EU tried to give him a kicking over and over again, resulting in the Referendum and the Bexit vote.
The EU will carry on in this way and it will be half past midnight before the EU27 realise that they have just gone over the cliff and the fall is going to be a nasty one for all concerned.
This is not a prediction, this is inevitable. The EU can't do anything else and survive. The UK _will not_, under it's current leadership, put up with that.
As for Varoufakis and his memoirs? Shortly after Tsipras was driven into the ground, I read an article which dissected and analysed what had gone on. The author of the article stated that Greece had failed before it began because Syriza had campaigned on a platform of keeping the Euro and "saving the EU". The EU was then able to use that position to destroy them. The Author opined that the default position of Greece should have been "We're leaving the Euro but we're willing to listen to anything you have to say which will stop us from leaving". The Author did state that even this might not have worked but that at least Greece would have exited the Euro with head held high and able to fix the mess it was in.
In my opinion the Author was right. It is the only way you negotiate with the EU. As we saw with CETA, the rights of the Belgian government were sacrosanct, until the Canadians took a stand and were willing to walk away. Then Wallonia was crushed.
Britain is not Greece. Truth be told, the UK, alone, could solve the Greek debt problem tomorrow on terms which would allow Greece to grow and repay us in 50 years. We'd get better return on our money and stick one in the eye of the EU. In fact it might not be a bad idea to do that when we leave, with the US, perhaps and exit Greece from the Euro into the bargain...
Anyway, it's clear. No deal is infinitely better than accepting the boot.