Figures released by the ONS show that coronavirus deaths in the week to 15 May reached their lowest point since the start of April. The long-term trend is generally down, but with some dips and bumps.
It could be that our lockdown has done part of what was hoped - to keep the NHS from being inundated. It also looks as though those under 45, and possibly even under 65, have made it through relatively safely.
However, we should not celebrate too much, as yet. The easing of the lockdown is only two weeks old (Wednesday) and the lead time for events is two to three weeks. We should have a better idea of how things are going by the end of the first week in June, but there are reasons to be hopeful.
With a fair wind and the vast majority of us staying sensible regarding distancing and washing hands we might still get a reasonable summer break.