Has the Indian variant peaked?

A board for news and views on what's happening in the world

Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Suff » 10 Jun 2021, 16:11

We will find out in a few days. Yesterday new cases were 7,540. Today they were 7,393. Numbers rise until Friday and then drop off again over the weekend. So they should be rising. Deaths at 7, +1 on yesterday. Again the number of active cases rise, but some 2,000 or so less than the number of new cases. Meaning existing active cases are falling faster than new cases are arriving.

By Sunday the numbers could be entirely different. Time will tell. If they are reading the tea leaves mid next week, the numbers could very well stack up to R0.8 or less.
There are 10 types of people in the world:
Those who understand Binary and those who do not.
User avatar
Suff
 
Posts: 10785
Joined: 26 Nov 2012, 08:35

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Workingman » 10 Jun 2021, 18:15

Monday the 14th is the review date, the only date with data that matters. Everything else in the media is just conjecture and guesswork.
User avatar
Workingman
 
Posts: 21745
Joined: 26 Nov 2012, 15:20

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Kaz » 10 Jun 2021, 18:16

I am far less interested in case numbers than hospital admissions. Surely those are far more pertinent?
User avatar
Kaz
 
Posts: 43349
Joined: 25 Nov 2012, 21:02
Location: Gloucester

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby TheOstrich » 10 Jun 2021, 18:25

I see the Daily Mail picked out Cheltenham as one of the areas where the virus is spiking, Kaz.
What are they saying locally - is it the Indian varient?
User avatar
TheOstrich
 
Posts: 7582
Joined: 29 Nov 2012, 20:18
Location: North Dorset

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Suff » 10 Jun 2021, 18:26

They are extremely low. Serious cases (hospital admissions), have gone up by about 25 in a week. The problem is that the numbers were so low to begin with that this is around a 20% growth.

On Monday the trend will be lower I guess. If it has peaked.
There are 10 types of people in the world:
Those who understand Binary and those who do not.
User avatar
Suff
 
Posts: 10785
Joined: 26 Nov 2012, 08:35

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby cromwell » 10 Jun 2021, 20:19

Oh Suff, Suff.
There you go again, using logic and evidence.
The policy has already been decided - lockdown.
So the only evidence that will be considered is the evidence that may support lockdown - positive tests.
Deaths won't be considered because there are hardly any deaths from Covid any more. Overall numbers in Hospital will not be quoted because out of a population of 66 million there are less than 1,000 in hospital with Covid.Hospital admissions may be quoted but only in the few areas where they are rising. The number of patients discharged won't be mentioned at all.
"Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored" - Aldous Huxley
cromwell
 
Posts: 9157
Joined: 26 Nov 2012, 12:46
Location: Wakefield, West Yorkshire.

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Workingman » 10 Jun 2021, 21:49

cromwell wrote:The policy has already been decided - lockdown.

But it hasn't.

We are now in a limbo lockdown, a part pregnant lockdown, a lockdown 'Lite'.

Things will ease soon. The data will say "we can do this, this and this, but we can't do this, this and that'. It might not be the full "Freedom day on the 21st" the media constantly promotes, but it will happen at some time.

What is certain is that we will never, ever, go into a proper lockdown... we haven't done it yet and we are unlikely to try it any time soon.
User avatar
Workingman
 
Posts: 21745
Joined: 26 Nov 2012, 15:20

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Workingman » 10 Jun 2021, 22:12

It pisses me off that we use words such as "quarantine" and "lockdown" so freely.

Quarantine comes from middle age Italy and the plague. Ships were held offshore for forty days and nights to make sure that they were plague free - nobody on, nobody off. If you died, hard lines, if you survived, welcome home.

Lockdowns were used to control Smallpox. Areas and villages were sealed off - forcibly. Teams went in and vaccinated everybody - no exceptions. You got the jab or you died - no human rights excuses in those days.

Us? We have been told to wash our hands, keep 2m apart, wear masks and not hug friends and family and we are falling to bits because of it. Pathetic.
User avatar
Workingman
 
Posts: 21745
Joined: 26 Nov 2012, 15:20

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Kaz » 11 Jun 2021, 14:12

TheOstrich wrote:I see the Daily Mail picked out Cheltenham as one of the areas where the virus is spiking, Kaz.
What are they saying locally - is it the Indian varient?


I thought Gloucester had the highest rates around here, at just under the national rate of 46 or 47? I'll have to look it up. What I do know is that GRH has very few Covid cases with only one in ICU. It's probe the variant, but I'll look that up too >>>>>
User avatar
Kaz
 
Posts: 43349
Joined: 25 Nov 2012, 21:02
Location: Gloucester

Re: Has the Indian variant peaked?

Postby Kaz » 11 Jun 2021, 14:28

"Gloucester has highest Covid-19 case rate in the South West - as infections soar in two areas - Gloucestershire Live" https://www.gloucestershirelive.co.uk/n ... se-5510141

Great, I live in Longlevens and D is in Kingsholm :? No mention of which variant, but I know the Indian variant was around in the Forest recently :?
User avatar
Kaz
 
Posts: 43349
Joined: 25 Nov 2012, 21:02
Location: Gloucester

Next

Return to News and Current Affairs

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 102 guests