Are we being primed?
Posted: 09 Nov 2020, 18:41
News is out that a vaccine tested on 43,538 people is 90% effective with 94 of them catching the virus. It is being hailed as the saviour of humanity from all quarters and we'll all be back to normal in months. Dissenting views are hard if not impossible to find. And of course the stock markets soared on the back of all the positivity.
But hanf on. There is no release date only a 'plan' to seek approval for use by the end of the month - that's not 100% certain to be given by that date. Then there is the rate of production of the doses. Then there's the 90% claim. For evey 100,000 people vaccinated 10,000 will not gain immunity and 215 will actually be given the virus. 90% sounds good but the actual numbers left without protection in a given population will be massive. I wouldn't be happy if my car brakes only worked 90% of the time.
The next bit was the press conference about the mass testing in Liverpool and the methods used. We were given details of the tests, how they work, how long they take and how soon before results are known. All it lacked was a practical demonstration. And the news was for ALL of us - hint, hint.
What we were not told about were the logistical problems being found in getting almost 1 million people in the city region tested even once never mid regularly - as was promised. Even if the test rate is doubled it will take six weeks before the second test programme can start. To ramp it up for the country is an impossibility, but it is still being sold to us as a positive.
But hanf on. There is no release date only a 'plan' to seek approval for use by the end of the month - that's not 100% certain to be given by that date. Then there is the rate of production of the doses. Then there's the 90% claim. For evey 100,000 people vaccinated 10,000 will not gain immunity and 215 will actually be given the virus. 90% sounds good but the actual numbers left without protection in a given population will be massive. I wouldn't be happy if my car brakes only worked 90% of the time.
The next bit was the press conference about the mass testing in Liverpool and the methods used. We were given details of the tests, how they work, how long they take and how soon before results are known. All it lacked was a practical demonstration. And the news was for ALL of us - hint, hint.
What we were not told about were the logistical problems being found in getting almost 1 million people in the city region tested even once never mid regularly - as was promised. Even if the test rate is doubled it will take six weeks before the second test programme can start. To ramp it up for the country is an impossibility, but it is still being sold to us as a positive.