cromwell wrote:Suff wrote:It is an important point. No dial up taxi will ever be as available as the car that I have parked on my drive. I can get in it and go where I want, when I want.
Think for a minute. Workers, going to work in south England, drive to the train station and pay a small fortune to park for the day whilst they take the train into the city. Park and ride is fine but they're all on the edge of large cities. Many people keep two cars because one is sitting in the parking lot at the train/bus station. And by Many, I mean millions of them.
Most of the cheap "robo" taxi's will remove the need for second and even third vehicles. You still keep your primary vehicle, but you use these flexible services for the other travel you need. Back in the 90's a colleague of mine said "it's all very well telling me to take the bus, but the bus stop is half a mile from my door. I'll use the bus when it picks me up at my front door and drops me back at my door. Robo Taxi's create the ability to do this at bus prices.
Also the development work is currently going on for a fully integrated driverless transport service. Where your "taxi" can drop you at a more central point where a "bus" with dedicated space for you will pick you up within 2-3 minutes. This "bus" will be more like an 8 seat taxi and also won't have a driver. So the configuration will be more bus like and have more space than a traditional taxi.
Consider driverless transport vehicles for personal transport to be like 1/4 up to 10/20 people. Driving routes which you need. The local hop to your door will be available because you'll switch vehicle to a larger vehicle for longer routes. Leaving the smaller vehicles for the local hop.
Have a look at the current solutions in development. Also the vehicles in development for different types of shopping and access. The options are endless and the opportunities are also endless. Current transport is extremely limited due to the need to have a very expensive human driver in it.
Back in 2003, working for GSK, I was talking to the bus driver who was driving us from the car park to the office building. 500m. I was bemoaning the ridiculous rates for a contract IT architect in Glasgow. $24,000 a year. "I'm not trying to be funny", says the driver, "but I make more than that".
Once you remove the human from the wheel, opportunities become endless. Cars, vans, Taxi's, busses, freight, Trains, the list goes on.
Our world is changing. In 2012 Elon Musk was told he was crazy, nobody wanted an electric car so why was he intending to produce 100,000 of them a year. In December 2021, Tesla sold more than 100,000 electric vehicles globally.
Times change.
It is not the government who wants you in a driverless car. For them it is a nightmare and a headache all in one to legislate for with almost no winning. The people who want to give you a choice as to who drives your vehicle are not the government. They are people who want to make a rather large fortune out of it.