by Suff » 18 Jan 2015, 20:43
This current winter is one of the warmest I can remember in my lifetime. Snow in winter OMG amazement..... Those of us who are older know different. No Snow in winter OMG what changed.
The issue is that average temperatures, globally, always look so ridiculously small in the rise (0.8c over a century), that people simply dismiss it. What they don't realise is that 0.8C average rise over a century can mean 20C hotspots for extended periods of time. So events like Bordeaux and south west France in 2003 (where some 14,000 people died in one summer), will become events seen every other decade, then every decade then every 5 years.
Most of the real rises are being seen in the winter in cold places. Average 24C increase in temperature around the Arctic circle in Winter. You might not think it is much when it's still -20C, but it is an absolutely HUGE heat influx into that area. Allowing truly warm events to become something much more with, perhaps, melting ice and >0C temperatures in the middle of winter.
This is the greatest challenge mankind has to face in the next century. The problem is that people don't even understand the problem, so they are incapable of even taking sensible decisions as to what to do about it. Leaving them at the mercy of governments who wish to either make money out of the problem or suppress our freedoms because of the problem.
Plus we are still learning what we don't know. For the last 20 years it has been believed that the tide gauge readings of the last 150 years were accurate. Now we understand so much more, we find we have to add statistical analysis to the gauges to actually get a real read. At which point we suddenly find that much of the 20th century sea level rise we thought we'd monitored didn't happen. In fact it all happened in the latter part of the 20th century and the first decade of the 21st. Meaning things are much worse than we originally thought.
However the press will continue as the press does. 10 years warming and it's "normal". 1 year partial cooling and all the warming stuff is "bunk"....
We're too stupid to survive as we are. Something different will have to replace us..
There are 10 types of people in the world:
Those who understand Binary and those who do not.