Wuhan virus.

[Workingman]

Regarding this idea of "herd immunity", which looks to be what the government would really like to achieve and which I am not totally against.

These figures are aggregated from various studies. The idea is that if 60% of a population, mostly the fit and healthy, get an infection they will then be immune from further attacks and also passing it on. The other 40%, the old and infirm, would have to be isolated as best as can be done. Covid-19 is only a mild illness in those who are young, fit and healthy, so not such a bad theory - on paper.

In practice it would be hell.

In the UK some 40 million of us would have to catch Cov-19. Of them about 80% (32 million) would come out the other side virtually unscathed. Many, but not all, of the 8 million who become ill will need to be hospitalised with some needing critical care. 4% of those 8 million, or 320,000, would die.

It is a very big ask for any country to put its citizens through especially as the outcomes of other strategies are not known.

For the government's 80% then 53 million catch it, 42 million are mild, 11 million severe and 440,000 die. It is not going to fly and that's why all these sports and gatherings and festivals and museums and galleries are all doing their own thing.

[Suff]

Thanks everyone. Right now, unless there is a minor miracle, the only prognosis is terminal. Hard thing to accept. We are looking at possible trials of advanced new medicine. Surgery is not even an option.

The whole Covid thing is coming to a head. The main pro lem, as I see it, for the "let it run its course approach" is that we will run out of health service and resources at some point, just as Italy has. Once that happens the bodies will start to pile up and real panic will set in. At that point expect all the logical medical answers to go out the window and knee jerk reactions to reign.

[jenniren]

Oh Suff I'm so sorry to hear about your neice, sending much love xx

(((Saundra))) I know it's difficult for you not to panic, as MM says keep everything clean and have your shopping delivered xx

[saundra]

Oh Suff I'm so sorry to hear about your neice, sending much love xx

(((Saundra))) I know it's difficult for you not to panic, as MM says keep everything clean and have your shopping delivered xx

I know Jen I think it's just being on my own and facing the future xx

[jenniren]

((((Saundra)))) xxx

[cromwell]

I'm sorry about your niece's diagnosis Suff.
Saundra ((((x))).

[JoM]

So sorry to hear about your niece Suff xx

(((((Saundra))))) Here or Facebook, you'll find one of us to chat to if you want xx

[saundra]

Hugs xxx for your concerns

[Kaz]

Oh Suff I'm so sorry to hear about your neice, sending much love xx

(((Saundra))) I know it's difficult for you not to panic, as MM says keep everything clean and have your shopping delivered xx

I know Jen I think it's just being on my own and facing the future xx

(((((((((Saundra))))))))) I hope you know how well you're thought of here xxxxx

[saundra]

Well now I'm surpossed to stay in for 4months because I'm elderly
Knowing my luck first time I go,out I will get the virus
At least I can go oneline to shop and moan
So much confusing information I think
We shall see by for now