by Suff » 02 Dec 2014, 07:37
It is the way it is for all governments. I've heard the whole "dual the A1" bit for forever. But if you actually look at what they are talking about, it is the tiny piece of single lane from Morpeth to the bottom of the dualling that ends north of Alnwick. A small and simple upgrade which is about a decade overdue. It will do almost nothing for the real blockage and that is from Alnwick to Berwick.
As for HS2? The realistic estimates were always £72bn. They're just catching up and remember HS2 at 40bn was already in the budget and we're not talking about 40bn between now and May, but now and 2020 or so.
Thinking about revenues, this massive fall in oil prices is probably a net revenue gain for the government as they can raise fuel taxes. Oil has fallen nearly 40% but our fuel at the pump is still catching up and will never fall the full amount as fuel taxes can be raised to cover it. If I recall, the Tories proposed to have a sliding scale tax which blocked the worse price rises but also took more tax to "balance" the change in cost when it fell. However betting on oil prices was never a good bet.
I doubt that too much new money has truly been injected into the budget. It's mainly a repackaging exercise... They're telling us that we'll benefit from the austerity still to come over the next parliament. Our job is to strip that back and work out whether it's worth it or not...
We could be like France, desperately holding fast to the LGV project to build a new high speed line from Paris to Bordeaux in the face of mounting demands from the EU that they get their structural deficit down from nearly 5% to 3%. However most French see this differently. They already have multiple high speed lines and know the benefits. They know that this new line will be beneficial and it is popular. As I'm sure, would be a line which managed to take you from London to Edinburgh in 3 hours. Or Manchester in under 2 or Birmingham in well under 1 hour. Once it is in place and people have been using it.
My take on local things is somewhat different. I see local things as mainly council responsibility. Something they have significantly failed to do under Blair and Brown and have learned to fail and wail for central government money. They have built monolithic monsters which are unable to do anything but consume ever vaster sums of money. When they fail, as they do, we blame central government. Perfect for them but hardly the way to govern a country. If I recall correctly, one of Maggies key reforms was of local councils. We never learn, we never really fix anything, we just keep going round in circles of varying size and speed.
There are 10 types of people in the world:
Those who understand Binary and those who do not.