Workingman wrote:The Eurosceptic wing in the Tory party also knows these things and its members do not seem to have much of an appetite for fudge, even if it does mean the party falling apart. They will look at the disarray within the opposition parties and feel that they can still win the next election.
Reality 101.
Perhaps, perhaps not. 5 years is a long time in politics and what may be disarray today can become coherence in only 1 or 2 years. Witness Blair...
I can understand why Cameron will not set out an agenda for reform. All it does is give your opponents an opportunity to scupper you in the EU. Witness Tsipras today.
However, for the sake of a clean debate, in the UK, he should have. But that would have scuppered him from day1 as he would have received nothing from the EU and not been in a position to make allies or ambush anyone.
In the end I don't expect this process to yield an exit from the EU and that, I believe, will be the end of the UK as an international identity and, with that, the end to any real influence in the EU....
Not what I would want for my country.
If Cameron truly wants reform in the EU and the UK in it he should follow the tried and tested EU formula.
Stage 1
1. Go to the EU with an absolutely ridiculous shopping list of changes
2. Set red lines for treaty reform which cannot viably be done in the time
3. Force the EU to tell us to go play with ourselves.
4. Have a referendum and put the full weight of the government behind OUT.
Stage 2.
Once he has an OUT vote. In the 2 year separation window, go to the EU leaders and tell them that if they don't do exactly what he wanted before, then the UK will exit. Force the EU to do the treaty changes and all his other "red lines", then hold a second referendum supporting IN, based on his successful negotiation of his UK exclusions.
Simple. Fully tried and tested EU negotiation technique. Negotiate from a position of strength. Nobody ever gets anything in the EU with a begging bow....