For the EU. In Juncker's last speech, he pushed out the following:
In his speech, Jean Claude Juncker also made a notably controversial proposal to abolish EU member countries' vetoes on certain tax and foreign policy issues. This is likely to be pounced on by critics of the EU who accuse it of being an undemocratic institution.
Juncker would never have even attempted that with the UK inside the EU. We would have vetoed it in an instant.
May was quite correct that no UK PM could survive partitioning NI from the UK. Even less could a UK PM devolve defence of the UK to anyone in the EU.
Yet why this should be is interesting. It was quite clear with the Lisbon treaty modifications to the Treaty on European Union (TEU), that this is the direction that the EU wishes to go in and that the choice is simple; accept or leave.
I don't expect much to be made of this reality in the UK, but it will be seen elsewhere. I will be asking my French friends what they think about it over the next few years. I shall also be watching to see how the former Eastern bloc countries react. They are at the sharp end and aligned with the US. More and more the EU is not aligned with the US, so it will be one to watch.
If Trump gets a second term, the US could very well exit NATO, depending on how the EU and Turkey behave. I suspect, very strongly, that contingency plans for the Nuclear weapons in Turkey are already in place, if not actually in effect to reduce the arsenal.
Juncker and his cronies may wish for this, but the consequences may rip the EU apart even more than Brexit.
It is quite interesting that the Brexit bonus to the EU may damage the EU from the inside more than the UK from the outside.