The maths are interesting...

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The maths are interesting...

Postby Workingman » 18 Jun 2019, 17:26

Johnson 126
Hunt 46
Gove 41
Stewart 37
Javid 33
Raab 30 (OUT)

Raab's vote will probably split between Hunt and Gove, not many will go to Johnson. Javid only stays in by one vote so his could go to Stewart, they will not go to Hunt or Gove.

Stewart could potentially come second in the next round with Hunt or Gove losing out.

Unfortunately the UK is still screwed because we look likely to get a lying, cheating, philandering buffoon as PM; and we thought that May was bad! :roll:
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby cromwell » 18 Jun 2019, 18:13

Theresa May was bad though. Really bad.
I just have this feeling that the Parliamentary Conservative party will knife Johnson again.
I don't understand the enthusiasm for Rory (Roderick) Stewart. He comes over as a fruitcake and he looks like Mickey the Monkey out of the Topper comic.
"Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored" - Aldous Huxley
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby Workingman » 18 Jun 2019, 19:54

cromwell wrote:I just have this feeling that the Parliamentary Conservative party will knife Johnson again.

Sadly, not this time. He has 40% of the votes and it will only take a few from Hunt / Gove / Raab to get him to the last two - then the Little Englander Empireist dinosaurs take over and he's in.
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby Kaz » 18 Jun 2019, 20:43

What a nightmare :(
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby Workingman » 18 Jun 2019, 21:25

There is a strange dichotomy here that could delay, delay and delay Brexit.

Johnson is so disliked by many Tory MPs that if he goes for a no-deal Brexit "his" government will fall to a no confidence vote - Tory MPs will vote against him. That gives us a GE and the main parties will be forced to decide where they stand. Another hung parliament.

On the flip side if Stewart wins, by some miracle, and tweaks May's WA agreement in ways that satisfy the EU it could give us an an extension to push it through or demand we revoke A50 should it fail in parliament.

That puts us in the position of accepting a May(ish) deal = BRINO or revoking A50 or no-deal. So what's changed?
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby cromwell » 18 Jun 2019, 21:33

The last three years in British politics have been farcical.
I suspect that the next couple will show if there is any point in ever bothering to vote again.
"Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored" - Aldous Huxley
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby Workingman » 18 Jun 2019, 21:48

Quite! You can change the PM, but that does not change the numbers in parliament nor the country.

Now that the truth is out there, and the myths, legends, frauds and lies have been exposed, the majority of us do not want Brexit. Unfortunately so much damage has been done to our standing as good Europeans that we will have to work long and hard and for many decades, not just a few years, to get it back.

In GEs we might as well stick blue or red rosettes on tins of pilchards and they would still get in, in some constituencies. Waste of a decent walk.
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby Kaz » 19 Jun 2019, 08:01

You're not wrong Frank!
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby medsec222 » 19 Jun 2019, 16:51

Personally I would like to see Rory Stewart go this evening. He doesn't appear to be offering anything different.. He is Theresa May Mark 2. Apparently his plan is to get the current deal through Parliament, hopefully with Labour votes. Fat chance of that.
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Re: The maths are interesting...

Postby TheOstrich » 19 Jun 2019, 17:49

You got your wish, Medsec!! :D

Although it did surprise me that he was the one eliminated. I'd have put odds on Javid.
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