And the answer is:
No we're not going to change our negotiation stance, but we're going to set up some directives. It is very telling.
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/pressco ... IP_20_2368Commission is therefore putting forward today four contingency measures to mitigate some of the
significant disruptions that will occur on 1 January in case a deal with the UK is not yet in place:
- Basic air connectivity: A proposal for a Regulation to ensure the provision of certain air
services between the UK and the EU for 6 months, provided the UK ensures the same.
- Aviation safety: A proposal for a Regulation ensuring that various safety certificates for
products can continue to be used in EU aircraft without disruption, thereby avoiding the
grounding of EU aircraft.
- Basic road connectivity: A proposal for a Regulation covering basic connectivity with regard
to both road freight, and road passenger transport for 6 months, provided the UK assures the
same to EU hauliers.
- Fisheries: A proposal for a Regulation to create the appropriate legal framework until 31
December 2021, or until a fisheries agreement with the UK has been concluded – whichever
date is earlier – for continued reciprocal access by EU and UK vessels to each other's waters
after 31 December 2020. In order to guarantee the sustainability of fisheries and in light of the
importance of fisheries for the economic livelihood of many communities, it is necessary to
facilitate the procedures of authorisation of fishing vessels.
The Commission will work closely with the European Parliament and Council with a view to facilitate
entry into application on 1 January 2021 of all four proposed Regulations.
How very nice of them. You note that Air transport and road transport are "provided the UK assures the same".
You will note that if they don't certify UK air safety certificates, their fleet (not ours), could be grounded.
But the real kicker is the last two.
The EU, unilaterally, is going to set up a framework to ensure that the EU retains its existing 90% access to our fishing grounds for the next year. You will note that it does not have the rider "provided the UK assures the same". Nope, they are going to "tell us" what they are going to do.
Finally, the Commission is going to work closely with the council and the parliament of the EU to ensure these Regulations are put in place.
Talk to the UK? Why would they need to do that? They own our fishing grounds apparently.
Time will tell as to whether they make this one regulation or multiple. Not much of a threat though is it? "Give us another years access to our fishing grounds or we'll ground our entire EU aircraft fleet". So we can expect that to be a separate regulation.
Not sure how the other part is going to be phrased? "Give us another years access to our fishing grounds or we'll stop you from buying all that stuff from us and shipping it home".
No, no, right, it will be: "Give us another years access to our fishing grounds or we'll stop you from selling all your stuff to us and shipping it to us".
Great, you know what our single largest goods export to Germany is?
Oil.
Good luck with that one. Our economy is massively services. Not goods as WM constantly reminds us, we don't make much.
So the EU had the opportunity to revise their negotiating mandate, take on board our issues and actually "negotiate" their way out of the impasse we are currently in.
This is what they chose to do instead!