by Suff » 04 Mar 2018, 14:41
Apologies for my tardy reply. I moved apartment yesterday and then my Brother invited me over to allow me to smash cars into race track barriers for a few hours on his 65" 4k TV with xBox One X and Logitech steering wheel and pedals. I left, just before midnight, having finally won my first race. I've never tried that kind of thing before, it is very addictive. This morning I woke with a blinding headache and took the tablets and headed back to bed to try and sleep it off. I'm still losing that battle.
WM, my OP was not purely about Trump and his actions on trade. My post had a point to it which has largely been missed. The point is that, if you are big enough, you can get away with unbalanced and aggressive, application of tariffs and you can also do it to individual countries if you want to make the point. Then the WTO moves so slowly that it could take a decade to sort it out.
This is vitally important right at this moment in time because the UK is involved in attempting to negotiate the exit from a large and, unusually, territorial union of states. There is no point in being Mr Nice Guy with a bunch of people who only respond to strength. Strength in trade is simple, you won't negotiate a trade deal and we'll punish you every single day until you do. The fact that Trump is proving that this can be done is of benefit to the UK, not deficit. I'm not going to say this is without downside, it is not and Trump is going to find that out over the next 3 years or so.
But back to the first point. The UK is BIG Enough to make it stick and the absolutely Huge trade imbalance between the EU and the UK plays into the hands of the UK negotiators. What those UK negotiators need to do is take off the kid gloves and start punching to Hurt.
That was my original point.
On your point about my "Hatred" of the EU, I must admit that I need to address that. Let me first state that I do not hate the idea of the EU. In general I don't hate the EU as it works for the vast majority of the states within the EU. However I hate three specific things about the EU.
1. How it is currently set up to give France, Germany, Spain and Italy the vast majority of the power and economic clout
2. The fact that it is about as democratic as India with 200m people voting for 1bn lives. Whilst trumpeting its democratic principles.
3. Last, but probably my biggest issue of all, is the way that the UK government and media isolates the people of the UK from the truth of the EU and lies about it constantly.
In general the EU works for those it was originally set up for. Germany, France and Italy are the manufacturers and the bankers. Spain is the food basket. All of this protected by cast iron trade barriers and trade deals Heavily slanted towards keeping that status quo. Notably keeping money in the EU and competing goods out. All you have to do is look at the conditions of the EU trade deals to see that. Oops I forgot, people in the UK want to TELL me about how good the EU is but don't actually go and read the image the EU has on the world stage.
Trump's rant, today, about the EU trade barriers will get Significant Sympathy around the world by more than 100 countries.
Sitting on the side of that edifice is the UK. Whilst the EU wallowed in the mire after WWII, the UK got on with doing what it does best. Looking at infrastructure, setting standards the world can use, advancing technologically, socially and economically. Meaning that when the UK joined the EEC, it was 30 years ahead of most of the EU in advancements in these areas. Yes our ageing manufacturing industry, never updated much after WWII, needed to change, but the framework was there.
Add to that the fact that the UK trades with the world because the world speaks English for trade, yet much of the EU still punishes the use of English in trade and we have an even bigger square peg to fit into the round hole of the EU.
If people truly understood the EU, they would understand that the introduction of the new Eastern EU states has caused a huge shock and upset to the balance of the golden quadrangle of Germany/France/Italy/Spain. They arrived with huge agriculture, millions of cheap workers and a work ethic (especially Poland), which is diminishing in the west . This threatens the Old EU and they are trying to circle the wagons constantly. It is no mistake that the "Old" EU were talking about a 2 speed EU once the UK had left. The vast majority of the Eastern states are not in the Euro. Hungary is not in Schengen. There is a power grab going on because the UK was the arbiter of "fairness" to the new Eastern states and would happily threaten to use its veto to keep them in the inner circle.
Now the UK is leaving the EU and those Eastern states are being threatened because their strongest proponent is leaving. They're scared and, like sheep, are cowing dow to the "powers" in the EU and biting the hand which has fed them for so long.
So there we stand. At a crossroads. All our friends in the EU with their backs turned to us. All our competitors in the EU facing us with naked glee, determined to take more than their pound of flesh from the departing member.
So what do we, the UK, do about it? We do what we have ever done. We squabble, we lie to each other and everyone else, we bow down to the rapacious elements within the EU and we turn our backs on our friends in the rest of the world who are opening their arms to take us back into the fold. After all we have done to reject them over the decades.
Then you say I hate the EU WM. No, I don't hate the EU. Yep I'm absolutely furious right now but not with the EU so much. Them I understand at a level that very few in the UK do. Not only have I studied it, I have lived it and continue to live it. I own property there, I have run my business there for the better part of 20 years.
So if I'm not mad as hell with the EU and if I don't Hate the EU, then why am I so mad all the time.
Point 3 above. The LIES, the deceit, the politicking and the doing down of the UK. I am with Aggers, Ossie and Cromwell for most parts of what they say. The UK does not need to be consumed by an ever growing EU elite who are determined to "socialise" the EU by destroying the powers of the individual state governments. Many of the states in the EU will benefit from this but the UK is, most definitely, NOT one of them.
You say I refuse to admit that the EU has any good. The biggest problem is that the EU has a LOT to offer, a HUGE amount of good, but the PRICE of that good is so high because of the way the EU is constituted, run and the way the UK chooses to engage with the EU.
I hate the Mandelson's, the Kinnocks, the Blair's, the Major's, the Clark's and the Cleggs of the UK. Who will sell the UK down the river for personal gain. Corbyn, you thought I'd forgotten? No he falls into a different category of political power manipulation. He is cynically using the EU situation to consolidate left wing power in the Labour party. For that he has a whole different set of contempt from me.
Then you have the likes of May and Cameron. Determined to try and do the "right thing" as they see it. May's speech on the NI border was classic UK walking blindfolded into the trap. The EU cannot afford a border in Ireland. It has made such a political play about it that it simply cannot do it. This is the biggest stick the UK now has to force the EU into an equitable trade deal.
It is very simple. If the EU want to put up a border in NI it is entirely up to them. We, the UK, are free traders and we don't need a border. If the EU doesn't want a border, then the answer is very simple. Agree a trade deal which abolishes virtually all tariffs for UK produced goods and EU produced goods. No customs union required. Job done.
It is that kind of idiocy which drives me to distraction. You do not negotiate with the EU. You tell them what you want and then set about leaving them no choice but to do it. Otherwise you get creamed!
So, WM, I don't hate the EU. I will probably remain an EU citizen when this is all over as it will be the only avenue left for me to keep living the way I intend to live. That is my choice. What I hate is the way the UK exists within the EU and the lies which are told about it.
I don't even care about their army or their aspirations of world power. What I DO care about is the EU leaning on UK power very heavily and then claiming it as its own preserve whilst stuffing the UK at the same time. Brexit will fix that. It will also fix the problem that the EU is hiding behind the power of the UK to try and hide its own world power aspirations. Once the UK is gone, the size and scope of the EU army will be visible to all. Then the world will have to decide what it does about it. I expect Russia to be particularly concerned.
I hope that this covers my entire view on the matter???
There are 10 types of people in the world:
Those who understand Binary and those who do not.