Workingman wrote:It might actually be the only option to stop the train wreck.
There is no stopping the train wreck now. There is only slightly different versions of the train wreck. Every Single Thing that is now done has political consequences to one extent or another.
Unilaterally revoking notification of an intent to withdraw is not without consequence. It will enrage everyone but the remainers and, let us not forget, there are more for Brexit than against it. It will not stop the EU citizens from leaving as their uncertainty will continue, it will do not one single thing to stop banking moving out of the UK nor will it help the economy as uncertainty will simply have been prolonged.
The only possible action to stabilise the country, now, is to determine that the Brexit Referendum was only advisory, revoke notification of an intent to leave the EU and make it permanent.
However, even that, would cause the government to collapse, votes to spin out to hard right protest groups and cause huge unrest and political tensions for at least a decade.
The cheapest cost alternative, right now, is to procrastinate the decision, keep the government going, expire the A50 timeline and crash out with no deal. It would cause about 6 months worth of hard work and hardship and then the uncertainty would be over and we would be able to move on.
Revoking A50 without a plan, or asking for an extension without a firm commitment from the EU to changes in any deal, are a disaster of the nth degree.
To think that there is, or was ever, any easy way out of the EU is simply childish. The EU were clear, when we voted, that they would punish us to the limit of their capability, to dissuade others from leaving, should we vote to leave the EU.
That stance left us with very few options.
1. Leave with nothing and take the consequences
2. Bully the EU into a better deal
3. Don't leave
Everyone was scared of #1. Davis was doing quite well with #'2 until May took over and insisted that the EU were "nice guys" and "just bluffing" on punishment. We now know where that got us. #3 was never an option when we had over 1m more people voting Leave than Remain.
Today we have lost the ability to do #2 because of May. We are left with a stark binary choice as we know that the EU succeeded in bullying the UK in #2. We are left with #1 or #3.
The Tories cannot survive #3 but might just survive #1 if they were positive about it and had enough time to deliver the upside.
Labour cannot survive #3 and it is unlikely they can survive #1 either as their economic stance makes it virtually impossible for them to make great benefit of WTO. Hence Corbyn doesn't want to bring the government down.
What Corbyn wants is to keep May in power, force her to option #1 by demanding that she deliver the benefits of option #3 whilst leaving the EU; an impossible task for anyone, let alone May; then he wants to take down the government at the post Brexit referendum and enact all his crazy policies without the interference of the EU.
Care for another analysis?